2026 Global Investment Outlook

February 02, 2026

Welcome to SLC Management’s investment outlook for 2026. In this report, our investment teams and solutions providers discuss public and private fixed income, real estate, infrastructure, insurance asset management and retirement plans.

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A message from Steve Peacher

Steve Peacher

Executive Chair, SLC Management

“The 2025 calendar year was one of heightened uncertainty, with concerns over geopolitical conflicts, world trade and the general macroeconomic environment pervasive throughout those 12 months. But we have also witnessed signs of remarkable resilience in 2025, which in my view position us well in the new year.”

What's covered

Following a year characterized by uncertainty, 2026 could be positioned for opportunities and potential growth, as well as for challenges to global economic resilience. Our investment specialists from across SLC Management, BGO, InfraRed and Crescent Capital discuss what could lie ahead. 

Macroeconomic outlook

Following a resilient 2025, the new year could see some lingering macroeconomic concerns come to the fore. 

Fixed income: investment grade

Demand for Canadian corporate credit should remain strong, thanks to investment inflows, general economic stability and relatively solid corporate fundamentals.

Fixed income: non-investment grade

Market conditions at the beginning of 2026 could be favourable for private credit, high-yield bonds and syndicated senior loans.

Private credit: investment grade

Investment grade private credit has the potential to continue providing excess spreads, with attractive opportunities on a select basis. 

Private credit: non-investment grade

The asset class could benefit from higher-for-longer rates, further supported by conservative structures, creditor protections and higher yields.

Real estate

Canadian commercial real estate entered 2026 on firmer footing, with easing headwinds, limited new supply risk and improving operating fundamentals.

Infrastructure

Resilience in the asset class should be supported by structural megatrends driving earnings growth, with valuations likely to improve.

Insurance asset management

Rate cuts in 2025 drove a significant steepening of the yield curve, creating distinct opportunities for insurers.

Retirement plan solutions

Identifying fixed income opportunities has become challenging amid tight spreads, but the short end of the curve could contain promising ideas. 

Contributing authors

Our specialty managers

Steve Peacher

Steve Peacher

Executive Chair, SLC Management
Dec Mullarkey

Dec Mullarkey

Managing Director, Investment Strategy and Asset Allocation, SLC Management
Randall Malcolm

Randall Malcolm

Senior Managing Director, Portfolio Manager, Public Fixed Income, SLC Fixed Income
John Fekete

John Fekete

Managing Director and Head of Tradeable Credit, Crescent Capital Group
Andrew Kleeman

Andrew Kleeman

Senior Managing Director, Co-Head of Private Fixed Income, SLC Fixed Income
Valter Lourenco

Valter Lourenco

Managing Director, Private Fixed Income, SLC Fixed Income
Elaad Keren

Elaad Keren

Senior Managing Director, Co-Head of Private Fixed Income, SLC Fixed Income
Chris Wright

Chris Wright

President and Head of Private Markets, Crescent Capital Group
chris wright

Chris Wang

Managing Director, Crescent Capital Group
Phil Stone

Phil Stone

Managing Director, Head of Canada Research, BGO
Philippe Dougherty

Philippe Dougherty

Managing Director, Commercial Mortgages, BGO
Christina Iacoucci

Christina Iacoucci

Managing Partner, Head of Canada and Canadian Chief Investment Officer, BGO
Ashwin Gopwani

Ashwin Gopwani

Managing Director, Head of Retirement Solutions and Managing Director, Client Solutions, SLC Management
Steve Guignard

Steve Guignard

Senior Director, Client Solutions, SLC Management
Neil Tai-Pow

Neil Tai-Pow

Senior Director, Client Solutions, SLC Management
Edward Hunt

Edward Hunt

Partner, Head of Core Income Funds, InfraRed
Jack Paris

Jack Paris

Chief Executive Officer, InfraRed
Stephane Kofman

Stephane Kofman

Partner, Head of Value Add Funds, InfraRed