2023 Global Investment Outlook

January 31, 2023

We are pleased to present SLC Management’s investment outlook for 2023. This report reflects the diverse viewpoints of our investment teams and solutions providers, with analyses of public and private fixed income, real estate, infrastructure, insurance asset management and retirement plans.

Watch the replay of our Global Investment Outlook webinar

Our investment professionals across SLC Management, BentallGreenOak, InfraRed and Crescent Capital provide invaluable insights into what lies ahead for traditional and alternative investments, as well as for the global economy. Panel discussion followed by Q&A.

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What’s covered

Following a challenging 2022, our investment professionals across SLC Management, BentallGreenOak, InfraRed and Crescent Capital provide invaluable insights into what lies ahead for traditional and alternative investments, as well as for the global economy.

A letter from Steve Peacher

Steve Peacher

Executive Chair, SLC Management

“The year ahead will not be without its risks, from central banks responding to data surprises, to liquidity concerns in some asset classes, to possible economic contractions more serious than forecast. This underscores the importance of perspective and insight, which can help us see beyond near-term worries and focus on the historical resilience of financial markets.”

Macroeconomic outlook:

Major central banks are facing the challenge of moderating inflation without igniting a severe recession.

Private credit: below investment grade:

A potential pickup in merger-and-acquisition volumes could lead to increased private credit-fueled buyouts and refinancings.

Fixed income: investment grade:

Movements in the Canada yield curve suggest investor confidence that inflation has been contained, though current expectation levels might be overly optimistic. 

Infrastructure:

Amid the various risks and opportunities present in the asset class, the ongoing movement toward global sustainability represents a strong secular theme favoring green infrastructure. 

Fixed income: below investment grade:

With increased default rates already priced into markets, there may be attractive entry points in below-investment grade bonds in 2023.

Insurance asset management:

Institutional investors are in a rare position to take advantage of much improved core yields, with expectations that credit spreads will widen as 2023 progresses. 

Private credit: investment grade:

Volatility is expected to continue into 2023, but the deal pipeline may be building up, driven in part by issuers who remained on the sidelines in 2022 coming back into the market.

Retirement plan solutions:

 Funded status levels for defined benefit plans improved in 2022 amid the past year’s volatility, which has driven de-risking activity among plan sponsors.

Private credit: below investment grade:

The macroeconomic and policy backdrop has resulted in a shift in the market favoring lenders over borrowers, providing opportunities for investors to benefit from higher yields on more attractive terms.

Contributing Authors

Steve Peacher

President, SLC Management

Dec Mullarkey

Managing Director, Investment Strategy and Asset Allocation, SLC Management

Randall Malcolm

Senior Managing Director, Portfolio Manager, Public Fixed Income, SLC Fixed Income

John Fekete

Managing Director and Head of Capital Markets, Crescent Capital Group
Andrew Kleeman

Andrew Kleeman

Senior Managing Director, Head of Corporate Private Placements, SLC Fixed Income
Elaad Keren

Elaad Keren

Senior Managing Director, Portfolio Manager and Head of Mid-Market Private Debt, SLC Fixed Income
Gary Greaves

Gary Greaves

Managing Director, Private Fixed Income, SLC Fixed Income
chris wright

Chris Wright

Managing Director and Head of Private Markets, Crescent Capital Group
Chris Wang

Chris Wang

Managing Director, Crescent Credit Solutions, Crescent Capital Group
Phil Stone

Phil Stone

Principal, Head of Canada Research, BentallGreenOak
Michael Andrews

Michael Andrews

Managing Partner, Portfolio Manager, BentallGreenOak
Ashwin Gopwani

Ashwin Gopwani

Managing Director, Head of Canadian Client Solutions, SLC Management
Steve Guignard

Steve Guignard

Senior Director, Client Solutions, SLC Management
Nitin Chhabra

Nitin Chhabra

Managing Director, Head of Insurance Client Relationships and Solutions, SLC Management
Richard Crawford

Richard Crawford

Partner, Head of Energy Income Funds, InfraRed
Edward Hunt

Edward Hunt

Partner, Head of Core Income Funds, InfraRed
Stephane Kofman

Stephane Kofman

Partner, Head of Capital Gain Funds, InfraRed
Jack Paris

Jack Paris

CEO, Head of Americas, InfraRed

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